Tuesday, April 14, 2020

Post lock down scenario for Employees.

What to expect / foresee :- 

Deferred Pay cut. The cut will be paid at a later date.
Reduction in perks; and permitted values.
Reduction in adhoc staff welfare payments.
Switch to pooled cabs / vans from exclusive car / fuel allowance.
Differential salary ; working at office & work from home.
Reduced declared work days, leading to reduced salaries.

Reduction in Salary ; fixed or differential cuts.
Reduced Increments.
Reduced Bonus.

Cancellation of leave encashments
No Increments
Minimum statutory Bonus; No Bonus (if possible)
and last 
Be Employed ; Lay-offs are possible.

Dhakshina Moorthy K M

Sunday, April 12, 2020

Indian Sub-prime Crisis 2020.

US Sub Prime Mortgage led financial crisis.
2006: Home Prices Fall
2007: Banking Crisis 
2008: financial crisis

India
2019 : A flat bought in 2014 / 2015 was sold at 23% less than the purchase; value depreciation. Seller is thanking his god and good luck.
2020 : Post Covid19 , July the same flat may fetch 30% less; if the seller can find a buyer.

Standard housing loan in India
Loan amount : 80 % of the value
Repayment period : 20 years
EMI : 1/3 of monthly income declared.


Today the value of housing asset funded is less than the total loan amount. The EMI paid for the first 8 years is more towards the interest and less repayment of the principal loan amount.
Even after 8 years of repayment, the principal loan amount is substantial.

India has already reached the sub-prime symptoms even before the covid lock down. 

Post covid lock down, there may not be prompt repayments. When the home owner realises the EMI payments exceeded the present housing asset value, it is likely he may default wilfully like in US 2008. The banks will have take possession and auction the assets.

Now there a lakh plus home assets where the homes have not been completed across India. When the home borrower defaults , there is nothing for the bank to take possession and dispose.

Dhakshina Moorthy K M

Monday, January 13, 2014

Benefits of discontinuing income tax for individuals and HUF in India.


There are proposals to discontinue the income tax on individuals and HUF in India by certain political parties. These proposals are welcome and rational. This would be most beneficial to all the citizens of the nation. Money is taxed in multiple means and in many instances. These would reduce the tax burden of the citizens and bring about major changes to the people, society and nation. Some of the benefits foreseen are listed.
[ Also available at Web site]

1.00 Psychology and Physical : -
1.01 The citizens would lead a life of peace and tranquility, free from the burden of compliance of income tax laws, exemptions, etc., without the fear of any violation even inadvertently.
1.02 The psychological relief would bring about better health and wellness among the citizens.
1.03 No bribes to pay. No threats of wrong assessments, no penalties and no litigation.

2.00 Savings & Banking :-
2.01 The citizens would put the money available with them , relentlessly into safe means of savings like in bank deposits and other interest earning bonds.
2.02 The decisions on the avenues to save are more open; and not directed by various exemption schemes laid down by the Income tax act. The decisions will be based on the individual needs and aspirations, than otherwise dictated by the tax savings schemes of insurance, mutual funds, equity schemes etc.
2.03 The savings will be directed into approved avenues of the RBI and not into schemes claiming high rates of returns.
2.04 Large accumulation of deposits in banks and other financial institutions will enable to bring about resurgence of fresh deployment as investment in industry, infrastructure etc.
2.05 Transactions will be routed through banking channel, need for more bank accounts, bank branches , banking network; resulting in hoarding of cash and the money with the people be put to productive use.

3.00 Expenses :-
3.01 Statutory expenses arising out of fees , filing fees, fees to auditor, advocates etc are avoided.
3.02 Depreciation claimed as an exemption ceases, resulting in avoiding purchase of unnecessary equipment, car, etc just to avail the exemption and the purchases are made more on the needs. The value of the purchase are also made need based. This could lead to lesser number of cars on the road, drop in value of cars in case of purchase by individuals.

4.00 Foreign exchange and Rupee value :-
4.01 Disincentive to money laundering - There will be no incentive to siphon out the money to foreign lands / bank accounts outside India. The money can as well be retained in India legally and secure without fear . This will arrest the flight of money through illegal routes like hawala, under invoicing of exports, over invoicing of imports, trans border transactions merely for the purpose of money laundering.
4.02 Rupee value appreciation - The demand for forex will drop , resulting in Rupee value appreciation. The rupee value would appreciate between 10% to 30 % in a year of announcing the discontinuing of income tax on individuals and HUF.
4.03 Flight of forex to India – There will be large transfer of forex to India , resulting in huge build up of forex at low cost.
4.04 Decrease in cost of essential imports - The essential imports like petroleum etc would cost less , resulting in the lowering of retail prices of petrol, diesel, LPG ; directly influencing the economy by lowering the cost of transport, resulting in arrest of inflation and stimulate real growth in the economy.

5.00 Nation stands to gain :-
5.01 The unproductive and wasteful expenditure incurred by the govt in realising the income tax is eliminated. The cost of revenue realisation in case of income tax is very high and disproportionate compared to the other revenue streams.
5.02 The Income tax establishment may be moved to other revenue departments .
5.03 No filing work, no need to engage return filers, auditors, advocates for various litigation with the tribunals and courts; resulting in elimination of unproductive work in the department side as well.
5.04 No black economy , Only one economy.
5.05 All round drop in prices, cost of labour, increase in productivity and efficiency; reduced cost of food, transport, travel bring about spiralling drop in the expense levels of the citizens.
5.06 Overall consolidation of our economy, bringing about competitiveness in our export front and discourage imports of non essentials.
5.07 Better revenue realisation in other means due to better compliance.

6.00 Real Estate & Gold :-
6.01 Property prices are appreciating mainly on account of depreciating rupee , easy availability of home loans, deductions for interest paid , deductions on repayment etc. The property prices would slide and stabilise to a realistic level, bringing in more people requiring homes within easy reach .
6.02 Multiple property purchase as an investment avenue will be eliminated due to the slide in the property prices.
6.03 Construction costs would fall; practices and management would become more productive and efficient. Profits from operations and not from speculation.
6.04 Increased revenue collection from stamp duty , registration due to realistic declaration in documents.
6.05 Drop in gold prices, off take. No incentive to buy and hoard gold. Gold turns into a negative yield asset. Gold retains its only advantage of instant liquidity.

Thursday, August 01, 2013

Act on Prevention Prohibition and Redressal of sexual harassment.


A new act has been passed on the 22nd of April 2013 by the Parliament of India.

The act is named as - The Sexual Harassment of Women at Workplace (Prevention Prohibition and Redressal) Act 2013., (No 14 of 2013).

The act aims to define sexual harassment, means and methods for prevention of harassment, ways of redressal for the victims.

Some of the important sections :
* Sexual harassment defined in sections 2(n)(i) to (v) and also includes the occasions covered under sections 3(2).

* Concept, requirements, members etc of Internal Complaints Committee -
1. Sec 4(2)(a) Presiding Officer - Women Employee - Senior management.

2. Sec 4(2)(b) Members - Min 2 employees with social work exp or legal knowledge.

3. Sec 4(2)(C) Member - outside - " a person familiar with issues relating to sexual harassment".

Minimum 50 % of the committee should be women.
eg :- 1W+2W+1M or 1W+(1W+1M)+1M or 1W+(2W+1M)+1M etc.

* Aggrieved person to make a complaint to the ICC under Sec 9(1).

* Try the complaint through Conciliation proceedings - Sec 10(1).

* If the case necessitates, forward the complaint to Police under IPC Sec 509 with in 7 days - Sec 11(1).

* ICC has the power of the Court - Sec 11(3).

* There is also a punishment to complainant for making a false complaint - Sec 14(1); a deterrent for abuse of this act for wrong motives.

* Confidentiality of the proceedings of the Local complaint committee is covered - Sec 16.

The act has covered major aspects. The act is gender specific and does not consider that even men are victims in many occasions.  

Monday, October 29, 2012

Home loan blunder!

The policy of liberal home loan disbursal based on the purchase value of the apartments, has been the fundamental cause of unprecedented rise in prices of land and in turn the homes.

Broadly the cost of a house or apartment consists of the price of land or real estate which is speculative; and the cost of construction, development charges, statutory deposits, project management fee etc. 

The primary emphasis of providing home loans at low rate of interest is to support the buying of homes by all. Instead the home loan policy now tends to support the whole price of the house; resulting in the financing of the speculative real estate at low rates of interest. This has resulted in easy availability of funding for speculation in real estate, over the years resulting in high land prices which is most unproductive and against the interest of the nation. It does not in any way, benefit the citizens nor it works towards the intended objective of providing housing for large population. It has given results, against the very objective of easy purchase of homes for all, to only the wealthy.

Can it be corrected? 

YES! By differential financing of home loans; financing the construction component at low rates of interest as it is practised now, limiting it to something like Rs 2000 per square foot; and financing the land component at the commercial lending rates of interest. 

This will ensure higher cost of finance for speculation and lower rates for the priority housing part. This would drive down the prices discounting the added cost of interest. In the long run, bring about availability of more houses at reasonable price levels.

Dhakshina Moorthy, K M

Friday, September 14, 2012

Gold and Forex.


Gold has a very significant influence in the forex reserves and the value of the Indian Rupee in forex markets. Most of the gold that are sold in the market is imported from global sources., and forms a major component of our import basket. Only a small quantity is recycled gold from old jewellery and other sources. So the enormous appetite for gold has to be satisfied with imported gold draining our forex reserves. This puts a strain on the Rupee value as the money needed for critical imports are diverted to less productive imports of gold. When the demand for forex exceeds supply , naturally the Rupee value depreciates.

The major demand for gold is more as an investment, means of hoarding wealth, etc ., which has given rise to such enormous appetite for gold vis-a-vis other investment options.

How to solve this : 
Govt of India can come up with a GOLD BOND Scheme . The Scheme to be managed by RBI and issued by various nationalised banks. Bonds at unit value of the gold on the date of purchase. Redemption at the unit value of gold on the date of redemption with a small rate of return. The returns being tax free. Intent is to divert the purchase of physical gold and move towards these bonds. 

Effect : 
1. Money stays within the country. 
2. The demand for forex drops to the extent of total value of bonds issued.
3. The Indian Rupee value appreciates.

Cascading Effect:
1. Lower cost of oil imports.
2. Drop in petrol, diesel prices.
3. Lower inflation.
4. Stability of our economy and more..

Dhakshina Moorthy, K M 

Wednesday, May 23, 2012

Forex Dilemma 14

At 54.86 Rupees for a US Dollar on 18th May 2012.

At 54.91 Rupees for a US Dollar on 21st May 2012.

At 55.01 Rupees for a US Dollar on 22nd May 2012.

At 56.01 Rupees for a US Dollar on 23rd May 2012.

And a Rs 7.50/- per litre increase in price of petrol from midnight of 23rd May 2012.

HELP the nation.

It is an opportunity for remitting funds to India. Get more Rupee for less dollar.

Secondly make it your way of showing your patriotism by remitting now.

Dhakshina Moorthy, K.M.